Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.975038 2.153463 2.343666 2.562010 2.806336 3.072002 3.383648
2026-01-18 1.733600 1.981370 2.261580 2.603873 3.013317 3.490620 4.093899
2026-01-25 1.560166 1.844863 2.181035 2.611180 3.152571 3.818964 4.713196
2026-02-01 1.402782 1.702370 2.068060 2.553244 3.189122 4.007076 5.160441
2026-02-08 1.286731 1.595851 1.983883 2.514902 3.235685 4.199522 5.620327
2026-02-15 1.199438 1.516271 1.923940 2.497492 3.301110 4.414653 6.125627
2026-02-22 1.152374 1.483870 1.920759 2.552334 3.465553 4.777075 6.879458
2026-03-01 1.087171 1.421532 1.871119 2.536110 3.523824 4.986869 7.420940
2026-03-08 1.022675 1.355316 1.810564 2.497786 3.543427 5.136341 7.878647
2026-03-15 0.950505 1.273764 1.722708 2.412050 3.482446 5.152460 8.113418
2026-03-22 0.914540 1.241034 1.702054 2.423804 3.570979 5.411004 8.788116
2026-03-29 0.889885 1.222789 1.700738 2.463787 3.705768 5.755397 9.655271
2026-04-05 0.863798 1.201635 1.694683 2.497309 3.835203 6.107743 10.594885
2026-04-12 0.837428 1.178536 1.684139 2.522609 3.952621 6.450655 11.566237
2026-04-19 0.808035 1.149151 1.661929 2.526825 4.033329 6.734454 12.459353
2026-04-26 0.766976 1.099818 1.605758 2.470705 4.002976 6.808788 12.925165
2026-05-03 0.733349 1.060313 1.562886 2.433810 4.003281 6.939632 13.528867
2026-05-10 0.706469 1.030055 1.533114 2.417081 4.038396 7.140251 14.316269
2026-05-17 0.695756 1.024718 1.543188 2.469719 4.206111 7.620866 15.827200
2026-05-24 0.672066 0.997490 1.515794 2.454147 4.242356 7.835690 16.735947
2026-05-31 0.645779 0.964937 1.477943 2.417359 4.234221 7.955835 17.427462
2026-06-07 0.612536 0.919773 1.416948 2.335040 4.130139 7.859972 17.547749
2026-06-14 0.598272 0.905236 1.407187 2.346328 4.214309 8.184056 18.835629